Chris Burke and his fianc茅e have been less than a year away from buying their first home for the past three years.
Saving for a down payment was the first challenge. Now, rising interest rates have kicked home ownership down the road again, stalling the couple鈥檚 plans to get married and have children.
鈥淎ny gains we make towards purchasing a house, we鈥檙e watching the goalposts move further and further away,鈥 the 31-year-old Ottawa resident said.
Feeling 鈥渟tuck,鈥 as Burke put it, is a sentiment shared by many young Canadians who are increasingly pessimistic about their home ownership prospects.
For the federal Liberals, the growing discontent with the state of the housing market is becoming a political threat.
鈥淚鈥檓 a former Liberal voter,鈥 Burke said. 鈥淚 certainly wouldn鈥檛 be voting for them this time around.鈥
Experts say the housing crisis poses a great risk to the incumbent government in the next election if it doesn鈥檛 take drastic action soon.
鈥淭his has become probably the most important both economic and political problem facing the country right now,鈥 said Tyler Meredith, a former head of economic strategy and planning for Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland.
鈥淎nd especially given the significant emphasis the government has put on immigration and the relationship between immigration and the housing market, there is a need to do more.鈥
Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre has taken direct aim at the Liberals for the state of the housing market, highlighting the dramatic increases in home prices, rents and even interest rates.
According to the Canadian Real Estate Association, the national average price of a home sold was $709,000 in June 2023, up from $455,000 in Oct. 2015, when the Liberals first came to power.
And the cost of getting a mortgage has soared, following a series of aggressive interest rate increases by the Bank of Canada in response to rising inflation following the COVID-19 pandemic.
Rent prices have also skyrocketed, with some cities seeing double-digit increases over the last year.
Trudeau has tried to deflect for the housing crisis, recently saying there are limits to what the federal government can do.
鈥淚鈥檒l be blunt as well: housing isn鈥檛 a primary federal responsibility,鈥 Trudeau said during a housing announcement in Hamilton on July 31.
鈥淚t鈥檚 not something we have direct carriage of. But it is something that we can and must help with.鈥
His remarks were quickly blasted by Poilievre, who reminded people of earlier promises Trudeau had made on housing.
鈥(Trudeau) held a news conference 鈥 to tell you all he鈥檚 not responsible for housing. That鈥檚 funny, because eight years ago, he promised he was gonna lower housing costs,鈥 Poilievre said in a news conference the next day.
Most experts agree that Ottawa isn鈥檛 solely responsible for the problem. But many say the federal government could still be doing more to alleviate the shortage of housing at the root of the affordability crunch.
The Canada Mortgage Housing Corp., the national housing agency, warned last year that the country needs to build 5.8 million homes by 2030 to restore affordability.
If the current pace of building continues, then only 2.3 million homes will have been added to the housing stock by then.
There are several things experts say the federal government could be doing, such as better calibrating its immigration policy with housing and reforming tax laws to incentivize rental developments. It could also push local governments to get housing built faster.
The federal government has been hearing from stakeholders and housing experts on these potential solutions, as rumblings grow about a focus on housing in the coming fall economic statement and next year鈥檚 budget.
A senior government official who spoke on the condition of anonymity so they could discuss matters not yet made public, says the Liberals plan to take steps over the next year to get other levels of government, the private sector and the not-for-profit sector to build more homes.
Trudeau鈥檚 recent cabinet shuffle might be an early sign that the federal government plans to prioritize housing. The prime minister appointed one of the stronger communicators and a rising star on the Liberal bench, Sean Fraser, to take on housing and infrastructure as one, amalgamated file.
鈥淭he prime minister said something to the effect of, 鈥業鈥檝e got a big job for you to do,鈥欌 Fraser said in an interview.
Fraser said he hopes to help restore a housing market closer to the one he grew up with in small-town Nova Scotia: one where having a job was enough to buy a home.
鈥淚t might take a bit of time for us to solve the housing challenges that are before us,鈥 he said. 鈥淏ut man, is it a challenge we鈥檙e solving.鈥
That challenge includes overcoming jurisdictional issues. Many of the policy levers that could help spur more housing development are at the provincial and municipal levels of government.
Urban planning, zoning laws and red tape are the purview of local governments, which have decision-making powers that can help or hinder housing development.
Ben Dachis, associate vice-president of public affairs at the C.D. Howe Institute, says the predicament the Liberals find themselves in speaks to the 鈥渋nsidious nature of consistent federal overreach.鈥
鈥淭he cautionary tale is that the federal government needs to stick with jurisdiction,鈥 Dachis said.
But housing expert Carolyn Whitzman has a different take. The University of Ottawa adjunct professor says the federal government can鈥檛 turn its back on Canadians in the middle a crisis.
鈥淭he federal government: it鈥檚 where the buck stops,鈥 Whitzman said.
鈥淚f housing and climate change are the crises that they鈥檙e certainly treated (as), the federal government is going to have to put on its big kid pants and actually deal with it.鈥
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