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Trade war, payroll tax could be behind B.C. small business confidence dip: pollster

Canadian Federation for Independent Business poll suggests B.C. is fourth most optimistic province
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Small business owners in B.C. aren鈥檛 feeling too confident this spring, suggests a survey from the Canadian Federation of Independent Business.

Their optimism slipped the most of the Western provinces, with it a 3.6-percentage-point drop to 65.9 per cent since February.

CFIB western economist Aaron Aerts said the drop is concerning, but there鈥檚 鈥渘othing to panic about鈥 鈥 yet.

鈥淲e consider 65 per cent and up to be relatively healthy,鈥 Aerts said. 鈥淪o 65.9 per cent is not a bad number.鈥

He said the dip in confidence could be tied to , as well as in anticipation of coming in next January.

鈥淭he payroll tax will be felt in the bottom line鈥 by those who are looking at expanding their businesses.鈥

He said any concerns are just speculation for now. 鈥淚t will be really telling once the tax is introduced. Fear of a tax is one thing, it鈥檚 another thing to actually pay it.鈥

The payroll health tax, which replaces Medical Service Plan premiums, will hit all businesses with an annual payroll of more than $500,000. Those with payrolls between $500,000-$1.5 million will pay a yet-to-be-determined rate, while those at more than $1.5 million will pay 1.95 per cent.

The tax, which comes into effect next January, means that businesses already paying health premiums for their employees will pay double the amount in 2019 before MSP is phased out in 2020.

Despite gloomy predictions for the future, Aerts said B.C. companies are still hiring in the short-term.

鈥淲e鈥檙e seeing healthy hiring intentions,鈥 he said, noting that 27 per cent of small business owners are look to hire, compared to just nine per cent looking to cut back.

鈥淚n the short term, I don鈥檛 think there鈥檚 anything to worry about in terms of employment.鈥


katya.slepian@bpdigital.ca

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